'I don't buy it': Enten breaks down the 'likely voter' gains for GOP

CNN Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten discusses the debate among polling analysts regarding the gap between registered voters and likely voters. In national generic House polling, Republicans show an average gain of only 1 point when moving from registered voters to likely voters. However, in key Senate races, polls show Republicans gaining an average of 4 points among likely voters.

Also, CNN's Manu Raju interviews House Speaker Mike Johnson on the campaign trail in Iowa, where Johnson pushes back against negative poll numbers, asserting that polls consistently undercount Republican turnout and voters.

0:00 The difference between registered voters and likely voters
1:37 How historical "likely voter" polling data compares with 2026
3:53 Speaker Mike Johnson says polls are underrepresenting Republicans
5:38 Every election is about the economy
6:43 Johnson asserts he will respect the election results

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