Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko insists his country does not want to join the war in Ukraine, warning that Belarus would be vulnerable if attacked. But Kyiv argues Belarus is already supporting Russia through military infrastructure and equipment. Analysts say Lukashenko remains heavily dependent on Vladimir Putin after Belarus’ 2020 political crisis, limiting his room for maneuver. While Belarus is unlikely to open a new front, it continues to serve as a key logistical hub and strategic partner for Russia in the Ukraine war.
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