The prophetic John Mearsheimer accurately described America’s war against Iran on February 17th — before the U.S. invasion on February 28th.

The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice. 4 April 2026, posted by Eric Zuesse. (All of my recent articles can be seen here.) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9o5eiyKsOs “Prof. John Mearsheimer: How Trump Has Boxed Himself Into a Corner on Iran” Judge Napolitano – Judging Freedom, 17 February 2026 15:39 MEARSHEIMER: Trump I don’t think is enthusiastic 15:41 about starting another forever war in 15:43 Iran. So I think if it’s just the United 15:45 States and Iran, you could work out a 15:47 deal. And by the way, as you like to 15:49 say, and I agree 100% with what you say, 15:52 Ukraine, excuse me, Iran does not 15:55 present a threat to the United States. 15:57 That’s the starting point. It’s not a 15:59 threat to the United States. So, you 16:01 ought to be able to work out a deal. But 16:03 the problem here is it’s not just the 16:05 United States or it’s just not the Trump 16:08 administration and the Iranians, it’s 16:11 the Israelis as well. And the Israelis 16:14 have a set of demands that go well 16:16 beyond putting limits on the nuclear 16:19 enrichment capability and there’s no way 16:22 the Iranians are ever going to agree to 16:24 those Israeli demands. 16:26 JUDGE NAPOLITANO: Is the um Iranian is the Iranian set of 16:32 negotiations 16:34 also a kabuki dance? 16:36 MEARSHEIMER: Yeah, there’s just no question about it. 16:38 I [laughter] 16:39 I see no way you’re going to work that 16:41 one out. NAPOLITANO: Well, do you think that Trump 16:43 has decided already whether or not he’s 16:45 going to attack, whether it’s to please 16:46 Netanyahu, to please the uh the lobby in 16:50 the United States or because he honestly 16:53 thinks this will bring about a 16:54 resolution to 16:56 whatever. 16:58 MEARSHEIMER: I don’t know what he’s thinking. Uh I 17:01 mean, I think that he’s really boxed 17:02 himself in here. Uh the problem is it’s 17:06 virtually impossible for any president 17:08 including Donald Trump uh to ignore what 17:11 Israel wants, and Israel wants zero 17:16 enrichment capability. Uh they want the 17:18 whole nuclear enrichment uh uh 17:21 infrastructure taken down. They want 17:23 Iran to eliminate all the ballistic 17:26 missiles it has that can hit uh Israel. 17:30 They want uh Iran to give up supporting 17:33 the Houthies, Hezbollah, and Hamas. Uh 17:37 and these are demands that there’s no 17:40 way the Iranians are going to accept. So 17:43 even if Trump can work out a deal that’s 17:45 satisfactory to him along the lines I 17:48 described before, uh it’s not going to 17:51 satisfy the Israelis. And uh the 17:54 Israelis have made it very clear that 17:56 they will attack uh Iran alone if that 18:00 is necessary. And of course, if they 18:03 attack Iran, there’s no way we don’t get 18:06 involved because we’re going to then 18:07 have to help defend Israel uh when the 18:10 Iranians start launching ballistic 18:12 missiles at Israel. and also we’re going 18:15 to get involved because the Iranians are 18:17 in all likelihood going to try to shut 18:19 down the straits of Hormuz and stop the 18:21 flow of oil out of the Persian Gulf. Uh 18:24 so I don’t see what Trump can do. Uh and 18:28 just to take it a step further, as you 18:29 and I have talked about, he can uh 18:33 attack, you know, he Trump can have US 18:35 forces attack Iran, but that doesn’t 18:38 solve the problem. It’s not going to get 18:40 rid of the ballistic missiles. It’s not 18:42 going to cause regime change. Uh it’s 18:45 not going to end Iranian support for 18:47 Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Hamas. Uh so 18:51 we don’t have a military option here. NAPOLITANO: Uh 18:55 so I I’ve asked this before. Why is it 18:58 that Iran, which has signed the 19:02 non-nuclear proliferation treaty, is not 19:05 permitted to have a nuclear weapon and 19:07 Israel, which has not signed that 19:09 treaty, is permitted to have a nuclear 19:12 weapon. Can anybody explain that? 19:13 MEARSHEIMER: Yeah, I can explain it to you. It’s very 19:15 simple. Israel has a special 19:18 relationship with the United States that 19:20 has no parallel in history. Israel can 19:24 do pretty much anything it wants and we 19:26 will give it unconditional support. Uh 19:29 with regard to all the countries that 19:31 live in Israel’s neighborhood, Israel 19:33 basically dictates to us that we have to 19:35 go to enormous lengths to make sure they 19:38 have no nuclear weapons of their own or 19:40 even a nuclear enrichment capability as 19:43 we have been talking about and that 19:45 those countries cowtow to Israel. uh and 19:49 we go to great lengths to help Israel 19:51 achieve those goals. That’s what’s going 19:53 on here. But you just have to understand 19:56 uh that there’s a special relationship 19:58 here between the United States and 19:59 Israel that has no parallel in recorded 20:04 history 20:06 NAPOLITANO: Here, uh, this is just in from the 20:08 Hindustan Times about 30 minutes ago. 20:12 Iran has sent shock waves through global 20:14 markets by declaring a round-the-clock 20:17 surveillance lockdown 20:20 over the strait of Hormuz, a vital 20:22 choke point carrying nearly 1/5th of the 20:24 world’s daily oil flow. The IRGC Navy, 20:29 that’s the Iranian Navy, announced full 20:31 spectrum monitoring across surface 20:33 vessels, drones, even submarines during 20:36 intense naval drills in and around the 20:39 Straits of Hormuz. So, the Chinese 20:43 import 1.4 million barrels of oil from 20:47 Iran a day. Are they just going to sit 20:51 back and allow the Iranian leadership to 20:53 be toppled if Netanyahu and Trump 20:56 attack? 20:57 MEARSHEIMER: No, they’re going to go to great lengths 20:59 to help Iran. And as I said to you 21:01 before, with the passage of time, the 21:04 Chinese especially, but also the 21:05 Russians are going to help the uh 21:08 Iranians more and more. And 21:11 that’s why I said to you a year from now 21:13 when we’ll when we’re talking about this 21:15 issue, right? It will be clear that the 21:18 China Russia dimension will be more 21:21 important then than it is now. But it’s 21:24 already important now. I want to make 21:26 one other quick point to you just to put 21:29 this whole uh crisis in perspective. I 21:32 believe that virtually every country in 21:35 the Middle East except maybe the UAE, 21:38 which is pretty closely allied with 21:40 Israel, but virtually every other 21:42 country in the Middle East, plus the 21:44 Chinese, plus the Russians, want this 21:48 war to not happen. The only country that 21:51 really wants it to happen is Israel. As 21:54 we’ve talked about, the Americans really 21:56 don’t want this war. Trump doesn’t want 21:58 to fight a war against Iran. He’s being 22:01 pushed down this road by the Israelis. 22:04 So, you see the remarkable power of 22:06 Israel simply because it has such a hold 22:11 over American policy makers. Just think 22:14 about it. Every country in the Middle 22:15 East except maybe the UAE is desperate 22:18 to avoid this war. The Chinese and the 22:20 Russians don’t want this war. Trump 22:23 really doesn’t want this war. Who wants 22:25 this war? Benjamin Netanyahu. 22:28 NAPOLITANO: Well, will he get the war that he wants? 22:32 Boy, it’s very hard to say. I go back 22:34 and forth on this one. Uh, on one hand, 22:37 I say this war can’t happen because we 22:41 can’t achieve our goals by striking 22:45 Iran. And furthermore, you have to take 22:48 into account what Iran can do in 22:50 retaliation. You were just talking about 22:52 the Straits of Hormuz and what the 22:54 consequences would be if that one heated 22:58 up. And of course, the Iranians are 23:00 going to launch ballistic missiles at 23:02 Israel as well. So, it’s hard to see why 23:06 it makes sense to start this war from a 23:08 purely strategic point of view. But 23:10 then, it looks like Trump has boxed 23:14 himself in. And furthermore, the 23:16 Israelis appear to be putting enormous 23:18 pressure on him uh to go to war against 23:21 Iran. And you know, can he disobey his 23:25 masters? I don’t think so. So that 23:28 pushes me in the other direction. 23:30 —— The following is addressed to understanding how Trump’s brain works, which has produced such results as was presented above: Michael Wolff is a journalist who was with Trump during his 2016 campaign and was allowed into Trump’s White House during Trump’s first term and was allowed to speak with anyone there. Wolff published in 2018 his best-selling book about his conversations with Trump and his entourage,  Fire and Fury: Inside the Trump White House. Following are videos of him explaining how Trump’s brain works, and how the Trump White House works: —— https://www.instagram.com/reel/DO_QulFjtHx/ Michael Wolff says that even Trump’s friends say he’s stupid. —— https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zKVN36NvYjg Joanna Coles and Michael Wolff: Inside Trump’s Head 5 February 2026, The 92nd Street Y, New York and The Daily Beast Trump reads nothing and listens to no one, talks nonstop, often shouting, and blocks all information; told Wolff pre-2017 his top goal was to become the world’s most famous person, lives constantly with multiple TV screens, all the cable news channels, eats lots of ice cream (Haagen Dazs). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e86jT8Wc8Rg Why Even Trump Insiders Admit He’s ‘An Idiot’ | Inside Trump’s Head 26 March 2026, The Daily Beast Michael Wolff and Joanna Coles dive deep into the most unsettling question at the center of Donald Trump’s presidency: what’s really going on inside his mind. Sparked by a revealing clip and Wolff’s firsthand time in Trump’s White House, the conversation traces a chilling through-line—from early confusion among insiders to the blunt assessment that unlocked everything, reshaping how those closest to power understood his behavior. They unpack Trump’s resistance to information, his aversion to reading, and the coping mechanisms that may have fueled both his rise and his governing style, while exploring how performance, repetition, and instinct can override logic on the world stage. Along the way, they reveal how allies, critics, and even longtime confidants struggled to reconcile the contradictions, and how those very traits may have become his greatest political asset, driving a presidency that defies traditional measures of intelligence and leadership in ways that continue to reverberate far beyond Washington. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqi0q14H7GU Trump Secretly Admits Top Goon ‘Is Crazy’ | Inside Trump’s Head 28 March 2026 Michael Wolff and Joanna Coles dive into a chaotic stretch where Donald Trump’s impulses collide with global consequences, revealing a president driven less by strategy than by instinct, ego, and narrative control. From openly contradicting his own stance on mail-in voting, to stamping his name on the dollar, Wolff and Coles track a pattern of behavior that prioritizes his personal dominance and short attention-span, over logical consistency. As the Iran war enters a volatile phase with no clear objective, Wolff argues there was never a real plan—only improvisation now spiraling into risk—while Coles probes whether there’s hidden logic behind the scenes or just confusion layered with bravado. The conversation sharpens around Trump’s reliance on storytelling to survive political damage, his fixation on grievance as midterms loom, and the growing cracks inside his inner circle, from RFK Jr.’s instability to rising doubts about key figures tasked with executing policy. —— MY COMMENTS: The most powerful person in the world is a closed-minded narcissistic psychopath who won his position in a fake democracy, which is comparable to the pre-Hitler German Weimar ‘democracy’, and with perhaps similar results. ————— Investigative historian Eric Zuesse’s latest book, AMERICA’S EMPIRE OF EVIL: Hitler’s Posthumous Victory, and Why the Social Sciences Need to Change, is about how America took over the world after World War II in order to enslave it to U.S.-and-allied billionaires. Their cartels extract the world’s wealth by control of not only their ‘news’ media but the social ‘sciences’ — duping the public. The statements, views and opinions expressed in this column are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of this site. This site does not give financial, investment or medical advice.
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