The All Blacks won by 17 points, but the data tells a completely different story. Did the Stormers just hand the Springboks the blueprint? The Stormers stayed within one score for 65 minutes, created more entries into the All Blacks’ 22 and exposed some serious problems around discipline, turnovers, scrum pressure and maul defence.
In this All Blacks vs Stormers post-match analysis, I use the match data, charts and a replay of Seabelo Senatla’s try to work through what actually happened.
Why did 141 All Blacks carries produce only nine entries into the Stormers’ 22? How did the Stormers use their lineout and maul pressure to create space? And what do 16 penalties and three yellow cards tell us ahead of the Tests against the Springboks?
I also look at the individual performances of Fabian Holland, Peter Lakai, Anton Lienert-Brown, Anton Segner and Leroy Carter, and give proper credit to Deon Fourie, Hacjivah Dayimani, Seabelo Senatla and Connor Evans for the Stormers.
My main takeaways:
• New Zealand finished their opportunities far more efficiently, scoring 4.2 points per entry into the 22.
• The Stormers reached the All Blacks’ 22 more often despite making far fewer carries.
• Stormers scrum and maul pressure repeatedly won territory and influenced Senatla’s try.
• Fabian Holland made an outstanding return, including two first-half lineout steals.
• Sixteen penalties, three yellow cards and a negative turnover balance give the All Blacks a serious review list.
• The Stormers were missing their Springboks and still had a real opportunity to make history.
What worried you most about the All Blacks: the discipline, scrum, maul defence, turnover count or the amount of work required to reach the 22?
And which player did the most for his Test selection chances?
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CHAPTERS
00:00 Why the final score is misleading
01:14 How the match unfolded
02:08 The All Blacks’ 22-entry problem
03:31 Possession, territory and ineffective carries
04:13 Stormers set-piece pressure and Fabian Holland
06:25 How the Stormers created Senatla’s try
08:58 All Blacks discipline: 16 penalties and three cards
10:03 Turnovers and the breakdown concern
10:39 Carry map: Leroy Carter and Seabelo Senatla
12:15 All Blacks player performances
13:41 Stormers standout performers
14:49 The complete Match Impact Map
16:19 Final verdict and Test implications
17:41 What did you make of the performance?
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