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The rally is back on and it is luring investors to buy the dip. The S&P closed below its trend line this week but never confirmed the breakdown, then bounced two days straight as the KOSPI ripped 18% and Microsoft and Amazon delivered monster gains. But the charts still scream caution: the 30-Year Yield sits at June 2007 levels, the 10-Year closed above 4.7%, and every touch of that trend line makes it weaker. On this Weekly Wrap-Up, Gareth Soloway maps what has to hold next week.
📐 THIS WEEK'S WRAP-UP
🟢 SPY — Up 0.7% and back above the trend line off the 2021 bull-market high. The close below never confirmed, so it was a fake-out. Clear first resistance and all-time highs are in play.
🟢 KOSPI / SEMIS — An 18% overnight rally rescued the chips after a brutal start to the week and kept the market intact.
🟢 MSFT — Roughly a 20% move on the week, up 3% today. Gareth flags the gap near $481–$482 as next week's resistance.
🟢 AMZN — Up over 15%, filling its gap and tagging a pivot high. No trade yet, but the parallel points to roughly $290 as his short zone.
🟢 AAPL — Both sides worked: the short into earnings off the topping tail, then the $300 buy that hit to the penny and bounced $9.
🟢 GOOGL / META / NVDA — Alphabet bounces off a great trend line after its CapEx flush, Meta rebounds 3%, Nvidia bounces off pivot lows.
🔴 30-YR / 10-YR YIELD — The 30-Year is at June 2007 levels and the 10-Year closed above 4.7%. Florida housing has gone quiet — Gareth reads it as a first-stage warning.
🔵 USD-JPY — A sharp two-day drop on intervention speculation. These have historically shocked stocks, but the market ignored it.
🔴 GOLD — Tried to break out, rejected. Four down days in the dollar produced almost nothing on gold. Still a long-term bull, but wants better behavior.
🔴 SILVER — Still a bearish holding pattern. It needs to clear $64 for him to turn bullish.
🔵 US OIL / NATGAS — Oil coils in a wedge and Gareth is happily neutral after banking a long and a short. Natural gas hovers above support.
🔵 BITCOIN — Pierced the key trend line and reclaimed it, but must hold $63K. A weak day given stocks rallied.
🔑 KEY TAKEAWAY: A break is not a break until it confirms. The S&P closed below its trend line and everyone called the top — but with no second close beneath that candle's low, it was a fake-out and the bounce was the trade.
⏱ TIMESTAMPS (estimated)
00:00 The Week That Was
02:00 S&P: The Breakdown That Never Confirmed
06:00 Dollar-Yen Intervention Risk
09:00 30-Year at 2007 Levels, Florida Housing
13:00 Amazon and Apple: Trades That Worked
18:00 Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Nvidia
22:00 Rumble Wallet: Claim $5 in USA₮
24:00 Gold Disappoints, Plus the Free Report
29:00 Silver, Oil, Natural Gas, Bitcoin
34:00 Wrap-Up
✅ SUBSCRIBE for Gareth's Weekly Wrap-Up every Friday from Verified Investing.
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💬 COMMENT below: New highs from here, or a dip-buyer trap?
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