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🚨 Budget 2026 just changed EVERYTHING for Australian property investors. Rents are about to surge 30%... and prices are about to explode.
Negative gearing is gone. CGT is restructured. And if history repeats and the data says it will, the Australian property market is entering its most volatile period since 1985.
In this episode, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty cut through the political noise with hard data and zero opinion. Drawing on $687M+ in real property transactions and two of the most powerful historical case studies in Australian real estate, the 1985 Hawke-Keating era and New Zealand's 2021 experiment, they reveal exactly who wins, who loses, and the only property investment strategy that survives Budget 2026.
This isn't commentary. This is the data most property experts won't show you.
The last time Australia scrapped negative gearing, rents surged 30% in capital cities within 2 years. Sydney and Brisbane prices jumped 60%. Perth hit 100%. New Zealand did the same in 2021, and rents rose 30% before the policy was reversed in 2023. The pattern is undeniable.
For mum-and-dad investors relying on the old "buy, hold and hope" model, this budget is a wakeup call. The gap between sophisticated investors and passive ones just got significantly wider. The question is: which side are you on?
VALUE BREAKDOWN
✅ Why Budget 2026 is the single biggest shift in Australian real estate in 40 years
✅ The New Zealand & 1985 Australia case studies and what they predict for rents and prices RIGHT NOW
✅ The CGT reality check: why the tax change is less dramatic than the headlines suggest (real client example: $42K difference on a $700,000 gain)
✅ Why outer fringe and new-build investors face the highest risk under the new rules
✅ The death of the "buy, hold and hope" strategy and the sophisticated approach that replaces it
✅ Why blue-chip locations (5–20km from CBD) are now non-negotiable for capital growth
✅ How small-scale infill development in landlocked suburbs creates the ultimate hedge in a post-negative-gearing market
✅ Why location now does 85–90% of the heavy lifting and what that means for your next purchase
✅ Who will be lobbying hardest to reverse the CGT changes and why it matters for your timeline
🕐 TIMESTAMPS
00:00 Intro: Why Budget 2026 changes everything
05:25 What actually changed: Negative gearing & CGT explained simply
09:37 The New Zealand case study: 30% rent surge in 2 years
11:32 The 1985 Australia case study: Sydney +60%, Perth +100%
14:36 The danger zones: outer fringe and new builds
18:42 Who will lobby to reverse this, and your investment timeline
20:43 CGT deep dive: the $42K tax reality on a $700K gain
24:38 The death of the lazy investor, what replaces buy, hold and hope
25:09 The winning strategy: blue-chip, infill, landlocked
🏷️ KEY THEMES
Federal Budget 2026 | Rent Increase Australia | CGT | Property Investment Strategy | Negative Gearing Australia | Property Investors | Crisis
About the Follio Property Podcast
Each week, Reece Beddall & Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights, we make property simple, honest, and practical.
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Lachlan Delahunty:
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Reece Beddall:
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Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions
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